Sorry for obsessing over Indiana here, but it's the best information we have to work with so far. And it's a major battleground, where Obama and McCain have been deadlocked for weeks.

And the spot to watch in Indiana is Marion County, which is basically the city of Indianapolis. Marion went very narrowly for John Kerry in 2004, but broke for George W. Bush in 2000. If Obama wants to win the Hoosier State, he needs to win there.

And the polls have started coming in from Marion County. With 2% of precincts reporting, the candidates are …

Exactly tied. 2623 to 2623. Think we're in for a long night?