So, last week, the latest jobs report was released, showing that 227,000 jobs were created in February, a much higher increase than expected. So, clearly, the President could expect to take a huge hit in the polls — suddenly shifting from 50% approval/46% disapproval to 46% approval/50% disapproval — because of course.
But that's just one poll, an obvious outlier. A newer poll that was just released clears everything up. He's actually doing much worse…
At a time of rising gas prices, heightened talk of war with Iran and setbacks in Afghanistan, Mr. Obama’s approval rating dropped substantially in recent weeks, the poll found, with 41 percent of respondents expressing approval of the job he is doing and 47 percent saying they disapprove — a dangerous position for any incumbent seeking re-election.
The poll provides a statistical reminder of how unsettled and unpredictable this year's political landscape remains. Just one month ago, Mr. Obama reached a critical benchmark by winning approval from 50 percent of Times/CBS News poll respondents, his re-election prospects lifting along with confidence that the nation was finally emerging from the aftermath of the Great Recession.
So, nine percent of the country suddenly decided, apropos of nothing, that they no longer approved of the job the President was doing? Okay. That sounds like a thing that happens sometimes.
Is there any possible explanation at all? New York Magazine's Jonathan Chait thinks he's stumbled upon one…
Here's one possible explanation: the Friday jobs report. The jobs report reflected good news, of course. But this may actually be the problem for Obama. A Democracy Corps survey from last month tested elements of Obama's State of the Union address. The whole thing fared extremely well, except for one bit, where Obama boasted that "America is back."…
The public is ready to credit him for trying, they really hate the Republicans, but they do not think that it’s morning in America and respond badly to any suggestion that they ought to feel cheerful.
Allow me to rephrase: Is there any reasonable explanation at all?
Photo by Olivier Douliery-Pool/Getty Images News/Getty Images
Tags: Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Polls, Rick Santorum